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Canada


Chicoutimi—Le Fjord


Latest projection: April 21, 2024
CPC likely hold
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord 45% ± 8%▲ 35% ± 7%▼ 12% ± 4%▼ 5% ± 3%▼ CPC 2021 40.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chicoutimi—Le Fjord 94%▲ 6%▼ <1% Odds of winning | April 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord

LPC 12% ± 4% CPC 45% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 35% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord

LPC <1% CPC 94% NDP <1% BQ 6% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Recent electoral history | Chicoutimi—Le Fjord



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 35.7% 40.4% 45% ± 8% BQ 35.0% 34.1% 35% ± 7% LPC 16.7% 18.2% 12% ± 4% NDP 8.1% 4.7% 5% ± 3% PPC 0.9% 1.4% 1% ± 1% GPC 3.1% 1.2% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.